StatSheet Projects Norfolk State as NCAA Tournament Bubble Team 17 Seed: 02/13/2012

Filed under StatSeed Update on February 13th, 2012
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet now projects Norfolk State to be a 17 seed in the NCAA Tournament. The Spartans are currently on track for an automatic bid and will need it to retain the invite as they're #117 in the StatSheet StatRank. They have an 18-8 overall record and a 10-2 record in the MEAC.

Over the last four games, Norfolk State picked up wins against Hampton and Maryland-Eastern Shore but also fell apart with bad losses to RPI #240 Delaware State and RPI #219 Coppin State.

Norfolk State has little experience against top competition, with a 1-3 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes an 0-2 record against the RPI Top 50 and AP Top 25. While the Spartans have no quality wins, they're hampered by four bad losses including RPI #240 Delaware State, RPI #219 Coppin State, RPI #179 Morehead State, and RPI #118 Illinois State.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Ole Miss (15-9, 5-5 SEC, StatRank #53), Arkansas (17-8, 5-5 SEC, StatRank #64), Colorado State (15-8, 4-4 Mountain West, StatRank #27), and Texas (16-9, 6-6 Big 12, StatRank #48).

The first four teams out are Colorado (17-8, 9-4 Pac 12, StatRank #67), Minnesota (17-8, 5-7 Big Ten, StatRank #66), Oregon (18-7, 9-4 Pac 12, StatRank #68), and St. Joseph's (PA) (16-10, 6-5 A-10, StatRank #49).

The next four out are Brigham Young (21-6, 9-3 West Coast, StatRank #49), South Florida (15-10, 8-4 Big East, StatRank #60), Washington (17-8, 10-3 Pac 12, StatRank #63), and Xavier (16-9, 7-4 A-10, StatRank #56).

Regional 1
#1Kentucky
#2Baylor
#3Florida
#4Florida State
#5Indiana
#6Louisville
#7Connecticut
#8California
#9Alabama
#10Illinois
#11Memphis
#12Colorado State
#13Arkansas
#14Akron
#15Bucknell
#16Long Island
#17MVSU
Regional 2
#1Missouri
#2Duke
#3Georgetown
#4Michigan
#5San Diego State
#6Mississippi State
#7Creighton
#8Gonzaga
#9Harvard
#10Iowa State
#11New Mexico
#12Kansas State
#13MTSU
#14Iona
#15Davidson
#16Mercer
#17Norfolk State
Regional 3
#1Ohio State
#2Kansas
#3Marquette
#4UNLV
#5Virginia
#6Murray State
#7Temple
#8Seton Hall
#9Miami (FL)
#10Saint Louis
#11NC State
#12Purdue
#13Ole Miss
#14Long Beach State
#15VCU
#16Texas-Arlington
#17UNCA
Regional 4
#1Syracuse
#2North Carolina
#3Michigan State
#4Southern Miss
#5Wisconsin
#6Saint Mary's
#7Wichita State
#8Vanderbilt
#9Notre Dame
#10West Virginia
#11Northwestern
#12Texas
#13Oral Roberts
#14Nevada
#15Weber State
#16Valparaiso
#17Stony Brook

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big Ten8 1266.7%
Big East8 1650.0%
SEC7 1258.3%
Big 126 1060.0%
ACC6 1250.0%
Mountain West4 850.0%
West Coast2 922.2%
Missouri Valley2 1020.0%
A-102 1414.3%
C-USA2 1216.7%
Southland1 128.3%
Big South1 119.1%
MEAC1 137.7%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Horizon1 1010.0%
Pac 121 128.3%
Patriot1 812.5%
WAC1 812.5%
America East1 911.1%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Summit League1 1010.0%
Big Sky1 911.1%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
CAA1 128.3%
MAC1 128.3%
MAAC1 1010.0%
SoCon1 128.3%
NEC1 128.3%
Big West1 911.1%

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MEAC Standings

OverallConf
1 Savannah State 21-12 14-2
 2Norfolk State 26-10 13-3
3 Delaware State 15-14 12-4
4 Bethune-Cookman 18-17 11-5
5 NCCU 17-15 10-6
6 Coppin State 14-16 9-7
7 NCAT 12-20 7-9
8 Hampton 12-21 6-10
8 Howard 10-21 6-10
8 Morgan State 9-20 6-10
8 Florida A&M 10-23 6-10
12 UMES 7-23 4-12
13 SCSU 5-26 0-16
Last updated: Apr 7th, 2012

2011-2012 Roster

#22 Kris Brown Jr G 6-3 180
#3 Jamel Fuentes So G 6-3 175
#23 Brandon Goode So F/C 6-11 215
#5 Winston Graham So G 6-2 180
#1 Rob Johnson Jr F 6-7 220
#31 Riley Maye So F 6-8 215
#15 Rodney McCauley Sr G/F 6-5 205
#35 Chris McEachin Sr G/F 6-6 195
#10 Kyle O`Quinn Sr C 6-10 240
#13 Quasim Pugh Jr G 6-0 175
#20 Reggie Revels Jr G/F 6-4 205
#45 A.J. Rogers Jr F 6-7 220
#2 K. St. Rose So G/F 6-6 180
#32 Marcos Tamares Sr F 6-7 210
#21 Jordan Weathers So G 6-5 200
#24 B. Wheeless Sr G/F 6-4 205
#11 P. Williams So G 6-6 195